PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

cryptoatma

0xa1726b44f76cf3b7ffd748cae41d8966300bb716

Realised P&L
$-5.2k
Volume
$811.6k
Markets traded
275
Open portfolio
$14.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded275
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7430.905$3.6k+$635.38
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5260.550$2.6k+$112.65
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027? · No0.7640.923$1.5k+$252.46
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.3420.245$1.1k$446.28
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8780.910$1.1k+$37.62
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7280.495$1.0k$492.40
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.8700.865$980.19$5.67
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season? · No0.8000.820$354.24+$8.64
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.6890.113$352.53$1.8k
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · No0.8980.940$301.58+$13.37
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.3220.605$299.44+$139.86
MagicBlock FDV above $60M one day after launch? · No0.3500.670$253.73+$121.18
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.2850.535$223.63+$104.30
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.1100.560$211.68+$170.10
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? · Yes0.0820.065$117.34$30.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 03:05Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?BUY0.29$66.41
07-02 03:04Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?BUY0.28$52.92
07-02 03:02Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?SELL0.88$208.97
06-23 07:05Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.22$71.28
06-23 07:04Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.21$335.08
06-22 07:16Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.27$104.49
06-15 04:31Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.329361675$77.40
06-15 04:29Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.3152084332$6.58
06-15 04:28Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.32$14.57
06-15 04:27Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.3153587849$61.04
06-10 03:13SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?SELL0.3504672$87.62
06-03 14:03SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?SELL0.64$70.53
05-30 15:37Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.26$80.60
05-29 02:54SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY0.6494336111$233.80
05-29 02:53SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY0.6383$63.83