irusweb
0xa1579eead294cbc8d608daec29c9c379127904b2
- Realised P&L
- $34.38
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · No | 0.917 | 0.955 | $569.61 | +$22.61 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.758 | 0.765 | $504.75 | +$4.75 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? · No | 0.570 | 0.605 | $129.52 | +$7.52 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.945 | $99.47 | −$0.53 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.636 | 0.625 | $15.09 | −$0.26 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.610 | $9.36 | −$1.23 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.715 | $5.67 | −$0.04 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$9.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.39at 0.610Will Russia target Kyiv on September 15, 2026?
- +$5.15at 0.660Will Russia target Kyiv on September 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:32 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $5.71 |
| 09-15 18:31 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $10.59 |
| 09-10 18:57 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.6358576052 | $15.35 |
| 09-06 11:49 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5699999964 | $52.00 |
| 09-06 11:44 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9499999981 | $100.00 |
| 09-06 11:43 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 11:41 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.629999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 11:40 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 11:38 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.757802373 | $500.00 |
| 09-06 11:37 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BUY | 0.9177584667 | $500.00 |
| 09-06 11:34 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BUY | 0.9099999992 | $47.00 |
| 09-06 11:23 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5697453958 | $70.00 |