PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

irusweb

0xa1579eead294cbc8d608daec29c9c379127904b2

Realised P&L
$34.38
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration55.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · No0.9170.955$569.61+$22.61
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.7580.765$504.75+$4.75
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? · No0.5700.605$129.52+$7.52
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.945$99.47$0.53
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 20, 2026? · Yes0.6360.625$15.09$0.26
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 23, 2026? · Yes0.6900.610$9.36$1.23
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 19, 2026? · Yes0.7200.715$5.67$0.04
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 12, 2026? · Yes0.6300.001$0.01$9.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 18:32Will Russia target Kyiv on September 19, 2026?BUY0.72$5.71
09-15 18:31Will Russia target Kyiv on September 23, 2026?BUY0.69$10.59
09-10 18:57Will Russia target Kyiv on September 20, 2026?BUY0.6358576052$15.35
09-06 11:49Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?BUY0.5699999964$52.00
09-06 11:44Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9499999981$100.00
09-06 11:43Will Russia target Kyiv on September 15, 2026?BUY0.6099999994$10.00
09-06 11:41Will Russia target Kyiv on September 12, 2026?BUY0.629999988$10.00
09-06 11:40Will Russia target Kyiv on September 10, 2026?BUY0.6599999842$10.00
09-06 11:38Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.757802373$500.00
09-06 11:37Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboBUY0.9177584667$500.00
09-06 11:34Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboBUY0.9099999992$47.00
09-06 11:23Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?BUY0.5697453958$70.00