0xa14867d90c1d05f7f5e84c0d21a35776732acb67
0xa14867d90c1d05f7f5e84c0d21a35776732acb67
- Realised P&L
- $-13.22
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $464.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.827 | 0.930 | $208.30 | +$23.04 |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.795 | $120.82 | +$67.63 |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.652 | 0.795 | $74.50 | +$13.37 |
| Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · Yes | 0.325 | 0.133 | $22.54 | −$32.78 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.165 | $19.39 | −$0.59 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.182 | $18.97 | −$0.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.74at 0.214Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Cobra - Game 2 Winner
- +$17.47at 0.632Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- +$16.04at 0.651Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
- +$11.16at 0.642Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner
- +$0.39at 0.981Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 16:55 | Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.6522884146 | $61.13 |
| 09-20 16:52 | Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.349999999 | $33.85 |
| 09-20 16:51 | Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.338 | $50.70 |
| 09-20 15:02 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5120765392 | $29.27 |
| 09-20 15:01 | Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6099999997 | $19.61 |
| 09-20 14:43 | Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.3499999991 | $19.34 |
| 09-20 14:24 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.2199999995 | $19.21 |
| 09-20 14:23 | Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.9799999971 | $19.96 |
| 09-20 12:44 | Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6199999987 | $29.42 |
| 09-20 12:20 | Dota 2: 1win vs Hokori - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.16 | $9.57 |
| 09-20 12:19 | Dota 2: 1win vs Hokori - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.1499999978 | $6.86 |
| 09-20 11:23 | Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.64 | $29.45 |
| 09-20 08:55 | Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Cobra - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.20599891 | $18.02 |
| 09-20 08:45 | Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.539999995 | $19.53 |
| 09-19 15:23 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.629999991 | $19.62 |