PolyBot

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Traders

0xa14867d90c1d05f7f5e84c0d21a35776732acb67

0xa14867d90c1d05f7f5e84c0d21a35776732acb67

Realised P&L
$-13.22
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$464.52

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration60.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8270.930$208.30+$23.04
Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · Yes0.3500.795$120.82+$67.63
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.6520.795$74.50+$13.37
Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · Yes0.3250.133$22.54−$32.78
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1700.165$19.39−$0.59
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1860.182$18.97−$0.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 16:55Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?BUY0.6522884146$61.13
09-20 16:52Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.349999999$33.85
09-20 16:51Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.338$50.70
09-20 15:02Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.5120765392$29.27
09-20 15:01Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.6099999997$19.61
09-20 14:43Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.3499999991$19.34
09-20 14:24Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.2199999995$19.21
09-20 14:23Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.9799999971$19.96
09-20 12:44Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.6199999987$29.42
09-20 12:20Dota 2: 1win vs Hokori - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.16$9.57
09-20 12:19Dota 2: 1win vs Hokori - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.1499999978$6.86
09-20 11:23Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.64$29.45
09-20 08:55Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Cobra - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.20599891$18.02
09-20 08:45Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.539999995$19.53
09-19 15:23Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.629999991$19.62