0xa106adf2e2fb5b4ee4f90c5ebfe10950c3105abb
- Realised P&L
- $-441.01
- Volume
- $381.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,779
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,779
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.219Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$1.2kat 0.712LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
- +$1.2kat 0.489Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres
- +$860.52at 0.373Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces
- +$815.35at 0.357Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mattia Bellucci
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 09:57 | Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $22.30 |
| 09-19 09:41 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $37.80 |
| 09-18 22:01 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | SELL | 0.72 | $1.10 |
| 09-18 12:54 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.96 | $37.90 |
| 09-16 21:43 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 09-16 20:27 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 09-16 20:27 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 09-16 20:26 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.7 | $21.35 |
| 09-16 18:31 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $65.00 |
| 09-14 22:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $137.94 |
| 09-14 22:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.986 | $196.21 |
| 09-14 22:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.88 |
| 09-14 08:11 | UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $126.46 |
| 09-11 13:11 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.9294312365 | $81.71 |
| 09-11 12:26 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |