PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa106adf2e2fb5b4ee4f90c5ebfe10950c3105abb

Realised P&L
$-441.01
Volume
$381.4k
Markets traded
1,779
Open portfolio
$3.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,779
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.8810.979$1.1k+$105.99
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · No0.8550.905$697.65+$38.21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.8000.815$537.57+$9.91
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · No0.8600.885$322.86+$9.12
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? · No0.8850.865$260.68$5.94
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.9360.935$224.07$0.22
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · No0.8520.910$164.87+$10.51
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.895$147.52$2.47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.8200.825$113.69+$0.69
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · No0.8720.997$102.59+$12.77
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No0.6990.820$55.97+$8.24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9600.961$37.92+$0.02
Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.925$22.18$0.12
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · No0.9100.969$10.48+$0.63
Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.9380.952$9.69+$0.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 09:57Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$22.30
09-19 09:41US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?SELL0.996$37.80
09-18 22:01Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?SELL0.72$1.10
09-18 12:54Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.96$37.90
09-16 21:43Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.69$3.45
09-16 20:27Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.7$3.50
09-16 20:27Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.7$3.50
09-16 20:26Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.7$21.35
09-16 18:31Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.84$65.00
09-14 22:35Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.94$137.94
09-14 22:32Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.986$196.21
09-14 22:30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?SELL0.999$9.88
09-14 08:11UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?BUY0.89$126.46
09-11 13:11Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.9294312365$81.71
09-11 12:26Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.93$4.65