0xa0d9a8fd5e6b1f984f88a593a1ead98318843d09
0xa0d9a8fd5e6b1f984f88a593a1ead98318843d09
- Realised P&L
- $3.02
- Volume
- $275.07
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $4.05
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.885 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.640 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.140 | $0.91 | −$1.18 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.485 | $0.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.130 | $0.28 | −$0.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.65at 0.270US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$3.73at 0.217Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$3.49at 0.382Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$2.96at 0.420Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during remarks in New York?
- +$2.84at 0.430Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $146 Week of August 3 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 13:56 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:13 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:53 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:06 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 16:09 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:09 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:49 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:08 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 01:20 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 01:20 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $680 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:18 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:13 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:50 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 08:21 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:20 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |