PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

G.laila

0xa0926fbc4a90e29e479b459ef92a147ebe5b11e3

Realised P&L
$16.6k
Volume
$2.32M
Markets traded
395
Open portfolio
$63.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded395
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6860.785$43.1k+$5.4k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.8850.905$2.5k+$55.33
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.8370.999$2.0k+$324.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9520.975$1.6k+$37.00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.8900.485$1.3k$1.1k
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.7810.885$1.1k+$129.00
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6600.745$1.0k+$119.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes0.9920.994$917.35+$1.51
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.8430.945$850.50+$91.50
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7800.825$825.00+$45.00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8920.930$744.00+$30.00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.4700.725$725.03+$255.00
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7920.905$724.00+$90.00
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.8160.895$718.66+$63.73
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7460.842$605.31+$68.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 17:15Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.992$793.60
08-03 17:15Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.991$122.24
08-01 03:51US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.93$314.32
07-27 03:52US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.7$737.83
07-23 08:11Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?BUY0.783$1.7k
07-21 18:43Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.7499599152$389.15
07-21 18:41Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.75$327.68
07-21 18:36Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?BUY0.88$78.84
07-21 18:28Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.61$137.25
07-21 18:28Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.6$11.60
07-16 08:41Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.58$116.00
07-16 08:40Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.58$696.00
07-15 18:45Exact Score: Any Other Score?BUY0.9609999999$300.00
07-14 14:55Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.846$3.3k
07-14 14:18Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.842$45.88
Trader G.laila · PolyBot