PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa0404fBf748c82561C5EaeFe41f5F77993356CDe-1776559746198

0xa0404fbf748c82561c5eaefe41f5f77993356cde

Realised P&L
$0.20
Volume
$246.80
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$43.61

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration70.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3920.512$13.07+$3.07
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4800.595$12.40+$2.40
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7700.625$8.12$1.88
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2410.160$6.62$3.38
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6100.415$3.40$1.60
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31? · No0.6500.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-27 23:34Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.2409999871$10.00
05-27 23:332026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.4799999827$10.00
05-27 23:28Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.7699999877$10.00
05-27 23:24US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.87$21.75
05-27 23:02Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?BUY0.7559681675$15.00
05-27 22:58Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?BUY0.6499999675$5.00
05-27 22:57Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6099999756$5.00
04-19 02:42Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?BUY0.1659999885$10.00
04-19 02:38Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.3919999774$10.00
04-19 02:33US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.4$10.00