0xa0404fBf748c82561C5EaeFe41f5F77993356CDe-1776559746198
0xa0404fbf748c82561c5eaefe41f5f77993356cde
- Realised P&L
- $0.20
- Volume
- $246.80
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $43.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.392 | 0.512 | $13.07 | +$3.07 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.480 | 0.595 | $12.40 | +$2.40 |
| Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.625 | $8.12 | −$1.88 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.241 | 0.160 | $6.62 | −$3.38 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.415 | $3.40 | −$1.60 |
| Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31? · No | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.75at 0.400US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$4.84at 0.756Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
- +$-10.00at 0.166Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-27 23:34 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2409999871 | $10.00 |
| 05-27 23:33 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 05-27 23:28 | Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 05-27 23:24 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $21.75 |
| 05-27 23:02 | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | BUY | 0.7559681675 | $15.00 |
| 05-27 22:58 | Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31? | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 05-27 22:57 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 04-19 02:42 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | BUY | 0.1659999885 | $10.00 |
| 04-19 02:38 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.3919999774 | $10.00 |
| 04-19 02:33 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |