oplix
0xa03240ca54c23a3d3e8755d0a51054217af49299
- Realised P&L
- $63.71
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $263.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$382.34at 0.042Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
- +$224.36at 0.044Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
- +$96.88at 0.001Will John Stevens win the Clacton by-election?
- +$38.59at 0.781Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?
- +$27.53at 0.694Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 09:51 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 09:44 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 09:43 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP? | BUY | 0.2699999978 | $30.00 |
| 09-13 12:39 | Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.6799999932 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 09:36 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 115-119 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0480192077 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 09:35 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 09:34 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 105-109 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 09-12 09:32 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.43 | $12.90 |
| 09-11 10:00 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 110-114 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 09-11 09:59 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 110-114 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 09-11 09:59 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 110-114 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 09-11 09:57 | Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.9312234763 | $12.38 |
| 09-11 09:36 | Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.66 | $19.80 |
| 09-11 09:36 | Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.11 | $5.50 |
| 09-09 11:01 | Will Green Party (MP) win less than 5% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.37 |