2026betright
0xa01cb112af5d746e2692c06d3669d8761dcc254e
- Realised P&L
- $4.05
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $40.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2027? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.115 | $18.43 | +$13.44 |
| Will no one dissent the January Fed decision? · No | 0.450 | 0.460 | $13.80 | +$0.30 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? · No | 0.830 | 0.815 | $8.15 | −$0.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on October 13? · No | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.70 |
| West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies · India | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.28 |
| West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies · West Indies | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.19 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 10? · No | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.00at 0.060Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$13.00at 0.503India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India
- +$5.60at 0.070Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?
- +$4.50at 0.550Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 9?
- +$3.68at 0.632West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 08:58 | India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India | SELL | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 10-30 08:31 | India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India | BUY | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 10-30 08:26 | India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 10-28 18:30 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | SELL | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 10-28 16:26 | Will no one dissent the January Fed decision? | BUY | 0.45 | $13.50 |
| 10-28 09:16 | ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Kuwait vs Kenya | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 10-28 08:01 | Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.10 |
| 10-23 12:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.07 | $84.00 |
| 10-23 08:57 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.197 | $5.91 |
| 10-23 08:42 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2027? | BUY | 0.031 | $3.93 |
| 10-22 11:03 | India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 10-22 10:30 | India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India | SELL | 0.46 | $4.25 |
| 10-22 10:07 | India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 10:00 | India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India | SELL | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 10-22 09:52 | India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |