FayeValentine
0x9f472320647d07a0aec70a3acb4b1fef1f6f457f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $249.6k
- Markets traded
- 6,316
- Open portfolio
- $183.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,316
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.440 | 0.855 | $38.86 | +$18.86 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? · Yes | 0.552 | 0.610 | $37.36 | +$3.56 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.261 | 0.185 | $21.30 | −$8.70 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.805 | $20.64 | +$0.64 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.620 | 0.625 | $20.00 | +$0.16 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.685 | $19.57 | −$0.43 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · Yes | 0.487 | 0.424 | $17.81 | −$2.65 |
| Will SI.gov launch by October 15? · No | 0.640 | 0.255 | $7.97 | −$12.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$586.88at 0.330Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
- +$569.13at 0.070Will Spain vs. Türkiye end in a draw?
- +$542.68at 0.330Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
- +$509.40at 0.330Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
- +$430.44at 0.380Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 10:56 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 10:17 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.505 | $15.15 |
| 10-08 10:12 | Will SI.gov launch by October 15? | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 10-04 14:06 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 22:15 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his rally in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.27 | $7.40 |
| 09-29 13:45 | Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | BUY | 0.1844444444 | $6.64 |
| 09-29 10:51 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999895 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 10:50 | Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | BUY | 0.7799999938 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 10:16 | Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | BUY | 0.13 | $11.96 |
| 09-29 10:14 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 09:46 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 09:30 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.62 | $7.44 |
| 09-29 09:30 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 08-23 13:27 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 08-23 12:28 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.41 | $20.50 |