0x9ec4B962b65B62FC20C6AD61FE277a524A692E6a-1762024959011
0x9ec4b962b65b62fc20c6ad61fe277a524a692e6a
- Realised P&L
- $504.20
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? · No | 0.713 | 0.962 | $519.20 | +$134.41 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No | 0.885 | 0.981 | $392.40 | +$38.40 |
| Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.140 | 0.810 | $356.40 | +$294.80 |
| Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? · No | 0.830 | 0.845 | $338.00 | +$6.00 |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? · No | 0.942 | 0.978 | $78.20 | +$2.87 |
| Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.840 | 0.900 | $15.31 | +$1.02 |
| Will Pepper win the Defi App trading competition? · No | 0.891 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$197.11 |
| Will Poland win on 2026-05-31? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.00at 0.670Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
- +$31.40at 0.857Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?
- +$30.00at 0.850Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?
- +$30.00at 0.900Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
- +$28.00at 0.860Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-08 22:47 | Will AOI win the Defi App trading competition? | BUY | 0.9 | $45.90 |
| 12-08 22:47 | Will AOI win the Defi App trading competition? | BUY | 0.876215847 | $64.14 |
| 12-08 22:46 | Will Pepper win the Defi App trading competition? | BUY | 0.8991188119 | $90.81 |
| 12-08 22:46 | Will Pepper win the Defi App trading competition? | BUY | 0.894 | $37.37 |
| 12-08 22:46 | Will Pepper win the Defi App trading competition? | BUY | 0.88 | $68.93 |
| 11-13 23:42 | Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition? | BUY | 0.998 | $153.00 |
| 11-11 19:58 | Will Rektmando win the Synthetix trading competition? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.95 |
| 11-11 19:57 | Will IcedKnife win the Synthetix trading competition? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 11-03 17:43 | Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition? | BUY | 0.995 | $7.46 |
| 11-03 17:43 | Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition? | BUY | 0.995 | $14.93 |
| 11-03 17:41 | Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition? | BUY | 0.99 | $202.27 |
| 11-03 17:34 | Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition? | BUY | 0.992 | $14.88 |
| 11-01 19:50 | Will IcedKnife win the Synthetix trading competition? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:46 | Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition? | BUY | 0.98 | $742.00 |
| 11-01 19:26 | Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition? | BUY | 0.983 | $703.89 |