Mingomtman
0x9cb259f37015fe95b17855dea016180dd3fbd111
- Realised P&L
- $-7.48
- Volume
- $307.71
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $31.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.37at 0.348Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$4.62at 0.520US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
- +$1.02at 0.830Crude Oil all time high by March 31?
- +$1.02at 0.830Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?
- +$0.49at 0.910Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 23:28 | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 04-02 16:03 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.907999955 | $5.00 |
| 04-02 16:02 | Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | BUY | 0.9839999575 | $5.00 |
| 04-02 16:01 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1779999748 | $5.00 |
| 04-02 15:59 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 04-02 15:57 | Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April? | BUY | 0.9 | $0.99 |
| 04-01 23:10 | Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 23:09 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 23:07 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.7529999548 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 23:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | BUY | 0.64 | $0.97 |
| 04-01 22:59 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 22:30 | Crude Oil all time high by April 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 03-31 04:14 | Will Artemis II launch by April 30? | BUY | 0.9489999973 | $5.00 |
| 03-31 04:06 | Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by March 31? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 03-27 19:01 | Will the DHS shutdown end before April 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |