PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hello112

0x9c75d07349ce302e4f694c9daa81a93993495d84

Realised P&L
$-445.97
Volume
$22.7k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration73.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.512$1.0k+$25.00
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5000.487$975.00$25.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.145$43.50$52.50
Will Trump deport 400-500k people? · Yes0.3020.645$10.99+$5.85
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8990.962$9.62+$0.63
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8500.958$9.58+$1.08
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 · Yes0.1100.185$1.85+$0.75
Pistons vs. Hornets · Hornets0.6200.000$0.00$12.39
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4250.000$0.00$42.50
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.8900.000$0.00$8.90
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? · No0.8300.000$0.00$8.30
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners · Under0.4600.000$0.00$961.40
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · No0.8200.000$0.00$16.40
Thunder vs. Bucks · Bucks0.0400.000$0.00$0.09
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025? · No0.7400.000$0.00$18.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 02:27US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.64$128.00
07-31 02:27US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.53$106.00
05-18 01:08Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?SELL0.14$14.00
05-18 01:05Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.43$86.00
05-17 19:55Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?SELL0.43$172.00
05-17 03:55Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?SELL0.86$4.52
05-17 01:06Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?SELL0.996$9.96
02-25 07:12Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.151$1.51
02-25 07:11Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.885$7.07
02-25 07:11Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading?BUY0.934$9.34
02-25 07:10Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.996$39.84
02-25 07:09Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?BUY0.83$8.30
02-25 07:08Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?BUY0.64$6.40
02-25 07:08No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027BUY0.11$1.10
02-25 07:07Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.899$8.99