franklyno
0x9c114982228228a5882233cf98fcc32e52cb847b
- Realised P&L
- $110.90
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Markets traded
- 203
- Open portfolio
- $221.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded203
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.63at 0.040Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?
- +$83.64at 0.104Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
- +$54.04at 0.193Will Matt Schultz advance from the AK-AL primary election?
- +$52.60at 0.090Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?
- +$45.68at 0.248Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 05:18 | Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31? | BUY | 0.599999994 | $19.96 |
| 09-22 01:40 | Will gas be below $3.75/gallon in any state on September 30? | BUY | 0.5899999966 | $21.03 |
| 09-18 11:54 | Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | SELL | 0.1980645161 | $12.28 |
| 09-16 18:45 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.279999999 | $21.55 |
| 09-15 20:13 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.52% in September? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.57 |
| 09-13 00:36 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4423346316 | $21.68 |
| 09-12 14:41 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30? | BUY | 0.3071781528 | $22.86 |
| 09-12 00:23 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BUY | 0.5899999858 | $24.06 |
| 09-10 01:17 | Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in United States this month? | BUY | 0.0522549704 | $25.39 |
| 09-09 19:56 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | SELL | 0.9721581697 | $61.40 |
| 09-07 21:00 | Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in the United States by August 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $15.64 |
| 09-07 20:59 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | SELL | 0.943 | $15.29 |
| 09-04 13:38 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? | SELL | 0.9492676991 | $12.87 |
| 09-04 13:36 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $33.46 |
| 09-04 04:41 | Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | SELL | 0.8219250426 | $96.49 |