PolyBot

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Traders

Mudd88

0x9b8e9ac3beef3993912a863fcbd7923ae3a06ff1

Realised P&L
$-239.60
Volume
$8.4k
Markets traded
135
Open portfolio
$52.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded135
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5000.595$11.90+$1.90
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4770.595$11.22+$2.22
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0760.028$6.81$12.07
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0650.041$5.58$3.42
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? · Yes0.0700.029$5.32$7.68
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? · Yes0.0740.035$2.85$3.15
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes0.4800.135$2.53$6.47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4200.305$2.18$0.82
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? · Yes0.1200.052$2.17$2.83
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · Yes0.1730.010$0.87$14.13
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2800.085$0.61$1.39
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0500.004$0.35$4.65
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.027$0.22$0.90
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET · Up0.0370.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-10 10:12Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.48$9.00
06-26 23:02Israel closes its airspace by July 15?BUY0.1$3.00
06-26 23:01Israel closes its airspace by June 30?BUY0.0259999876$2.00
06-16 04:25Will Trump say "Transgender" during G7 events?BUY0.2970296671$5.00
06-16 04:24Will Trump say "Six Seven" during G7 events?BUY0.1951219512$2.00
06-16 04:11Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?BUY0.1$3.00
06-10 21:54Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.0054918903$3.00
06-10 21:30Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.32$5.00
06-10 21:30Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.5899999705$5.00
06-10 21:24Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETBUY0.4499999625$3.00
06-10 21:21Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETBUY0.4699999702$3.00
06-10 20:59Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.4899999951$3.00
06-10 20:59Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.5704917964$3.00
06-10 20:59Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.3499999475$3.00
06-10 20:54Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETBUY0.03$3.00