Mudd88
0x9b8e9ac3beef3993912a863fcbd7923ae3a06ff1
- Realised P&L
- $-239.60
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $52.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.04at 0.099Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
- +$27.12at 0.279Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
- +$16.47at 0.242Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
- +$12.62at 0.322US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$12.24at 0.290Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 10:12 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.00 |
| 06-26 23:02 | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 06-26 23:01 | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.0259999876 | $2.00 |
| 06-16 04:25 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during G7 events? | BUY | 0.2970296671 | $5.00 |
| 06-16 04:24 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" during G7 events? | BUY | 0.1951219512 | $2.00 |
| 06-16 04:11 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 06-10 21:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0054918903 | $3.00 |
| 06-10 21:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 21:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 21:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4499999625 | $3.00 |
| 06-10 21:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999702 | $3.00 |
| 06-10 20:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999951 | $3.00 |
| 06-10 20:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5704917964 | $3.00 |
| 06-10 20:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999475 | $3.00 |
| 06-10 20:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |