Leonardoru911
0x9b6f6c688680f610e7c4e3641eb3e6edac1b0fcc
- Realised P&L
- $-1.79
- Volume
- $391.26
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $3.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.185 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.305 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.055 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.035 | $0.59 | −$0.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.27at 0.441Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-0.92at 0.079Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?
- +$-1.07at 0.009Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10?
- +$-1.07at 0.005Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 22:04 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4389998705 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 16:56 | Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.13 |
| 10-22 16:56 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 16:56 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 00:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 00:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 00:44 | Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 00:44 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 19:52 | Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.0749999963 | $1.00 |