PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Niclos

0x9b4ffd879c98615a706e127a3b9c7f7cef32ce1f

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$100.9k
Markets traded
1,869
Open portfolio
$688.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,869
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · No0.8030.875$262.49+$21.50
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.7400.905$181.00+$33.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.7900.965$96.45+$17.45
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.2910.346$69.30+$11.15
Will Hurupay launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.7600.985$40.38+$9.22
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.6600.655$39.30−$0.30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No0.9440.000$0.00−$28.32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.8600.000$0.00−$86.00
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockx · Federico Cina0.2000.000$0.00−$4.00
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev · Rafael Jodar0.1110.000$0.00−$39.00
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machac · Stefanos Tsitsipas0.4210.000$0.00−$16.84
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · No0.9000.000$0.00−$45.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 15:50Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.29075$58.15
08-08 07:52Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?SELL0.964$48.19
05-18 12:13Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$75.00
05-07 15:28Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas MachacBUY0.15399$1.54
04-29 15:36Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?SELL0.998$52.16
04-26 22:47Trump out as President by April 30?SELL0.998$99.80
04-20 22:06Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.75$7.23
04-20 21:45Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETBUY0.75$7.23
04-20 21:20Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETBUY0.74$7.12
04-20 19:56Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.66$6.28
04-20 18:40Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.75$7.23
04-20 18:05Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.73177$7.04
04-20 17:11Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETBUY0.75$7.23
04-20 17:06Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETBUY0.75$7.23
04-20 14:31Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETBUY0.75$3.62