Niclos
0x9b4ffd879c98615a706e127a3b9c7f7cef32ce1f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $100.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,869
- Open portfolio
- $688.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,869
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$158.00at 0.040Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?
- +$79.00at 0.013Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
- +$78.99at 0.012Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
- +$63.00at 0.170Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$62.99at 0.120Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 15:50 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.29075 | $58.15 |
| 08-08 07:52 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.964 | $48.19 |
| 05-18 12:13 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $75.00 |
| 05-07 15:28 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machac | BUY | 0.15399 | $1.54 |
| 04-29 15:36 | Will Germany strike Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $52.16 |
| 04-26 22:47 | Trump out as President by April 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 04-20 22:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $7.23 |
| 04-20 21:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $7.23 |
| 04-20 21:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $7.12 |
| 04-20 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $6.28 |
| 04-20 18:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $7.23 |
| 04-20 18:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.73177 | $7.04 |
| 04-20 17:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $7.23 |
| 04-20 17:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $7.23 |
| 04-20 14:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $3.62 |