0x9b422c516a81984191194b32180ddfd8d3dd2e40
0x9b422c516a81984191194b32180ddfd8d3dd2e40
- Realised P&L
- $4.31
- Volume
- $220.16
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $5.36
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.800 | 0.855 | $1.70 | +$0.11 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.785 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.605 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.440 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $158 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.330 | $0.60 | −$0.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.77at 0.250Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
- +$4.25at 0.278Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.67at 0.379S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 20?
- +$2.55at 0.389Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?
- +$2.54at 0.288Trump renames AI by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 18:09 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 09:41 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $158 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:10 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:29 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:09 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:01 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 06:26 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:24 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 17:12 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:04 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:46 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in September? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 10:05 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:48 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 19:39 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.59 |