3ddddd
0x9b0a95045407efcb7c8efa009760814e354743bc
- Realised P&L
- $-282.79
- Volume
- $99.9k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.47at 0.132Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
- +$35.93at 0.601MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$28.50at 0.069Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
- +$17.84at 0.982Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
- +$13.69at 0.556Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 12:06 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? | SELL | 0.05 | $20.65 |
| 09-18 08:34 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? | SELL | 0.05 | $50.00 |
| 09-18 06:35 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? | BUY | 0.21 | $168.00 |
| 09-18 06:35 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? | SELL | 0.79 | $474.00 |
| 09-18 06:34 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.15 | $88.95 |
| 09-18 06:34 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $42.00 |
| 09-18 03:05 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.13 | $82.68 |
| 09-18 03:04 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.13 | $26.00 |
| 09-18 02:48 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? | BUY | 0.07 | $70.00 |
| 09-18 02:47 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.13 | $130.00 |
| 09-18 02:46 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $56.00 |
| 08-07 09:35 | Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $57.34 |
| 08-07 09:34 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.702 | $1.3k |
| 08-07 09:34 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.299 | $568.10 |
| 07-01 01:33 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | SELL | 0.5909361543 | $31.56 |