PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

3ddddd

0x9b0a95045407efcb7c8efa009760814e354743bc

Realised P&L
$-282.79
Volume
$99.9k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$3.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.5000.895$984.50+$434.50
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.650$665.60+$153.60
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.635$635.00+$135.00
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.365$365.00$135.00
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.350$358.40$153.60
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.4400.445$178.00+$2.00
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? · Yes0.2100.205$164.00$4.00
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5000.105$115.50$434.50
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0700.065$91.00$7.00
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No0.9470.974$77.88+$2.12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? · No0.0570.050$75.02$10.74
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9400.979$59.69+$2.35
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2990.366$4.03+$0.74
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 30? · Down0.0330.000$0.00$13.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 12:06US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?SELL0.05$20.65
09-18 08:34US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?SELL0.05$50.00
09-18 06:35Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?BUY0.21$168.00
09-18 06:35Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?SELL0.79$474.00
09-18 06:34Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?BUY0.15$88.95
09-18 06:34Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.07$42.00
09-18 03:05Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?BUY0.13$82.68
09-18 03:04Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?BUY0.13$26.00
09-18 02:48US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?BUY0.07$70.00
09-18 02:47Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?BUY0.13$130.00
09-18 02:46Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.07$56.00
08-07 09:35Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.94$57.34
08-07 09:34Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.702$1.3k
08-07 09:34Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.299$568.10
07-01 01:33Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?SELL0.5909361543$31.56