PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BigNerd

0x9a5029086b16aea298385b67f1e0c35b97cea045

Realised P&L
$-2.7k
Volume
$95.2k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5500.512$512.50$37.50
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2800.221$441.00$119.00
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0230.040$395.00+$165.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1040.000$0.00$214.24
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 U.S. Open? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$79.46
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$44.10
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 U.S. Open? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$130.00
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$6.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-18 20:04Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 U.S. Open?BUY0.0785127711$26.10
06-12 20:54Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.003$6.30
06-12 20:54Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.021$44.10
06-12 20:53Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.097$99.91
05-02 18:03Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.111$114.33
02-26 18:05Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.1$13.71
02-25 22:44Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.98$9.74
02-25 22:40Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.033$1.24
01-24 03:56Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C or higher on January 24?BUY0.023$0.16
01-22 20:25Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?BUY0.8185$163.70
01-22 20:24Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?BUY0.84$34.92
01-21 22:45Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 54-55°F on January 22?BUY0.049$1.47
01-21 17:24Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 60°F or higher on January 22?BUY0.6873684211$26.12
01-10 00:32ICE shooter charged by March 31?BUY0.71$142.00
01-08 18:03S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 8?SELL0.6$120.00