0x9a354ed319390e065d4653473e9cf26c89104d50
0x9a354ed319390e065d4653473e9cf26c89104d50
- Realised P&L
- $23.10
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.11at 0.722Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?
- +$18.37at 0.892Nothing Ever Happens: August
- +$7.90at 0.869Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
- +$3.88at 0.993NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
- +$3.36at 0.940Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 09:46 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 09:41 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 09:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 09:39 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.2475247525 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 09:37 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $22.22 |
| 09-25 21:23 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 21:22 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.0716675004 | $4.30 |
| 09-25 21:20 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $10.33 |
| 09-25 21:20 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.941 | $10.45 |
| 09-24 18:22 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7199999931 | $4.20 |
| 09-24 12:32 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.8187988501 | $80.00 |
| 09-21 20:30 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $10.21 |
| 09-21 20:29 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7394313766 | $200.00 |
| 09-17 14:34 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $180.00 |