PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x99F3fF7b96b54cFaD33d3E8c38F511963a6b87eb-1779465868907

0x99f3ff7b96b54cfad33d3e8c38f511963a6b87eb

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$96.0k
Markets traded
118
Open portfolio
$7.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded118
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.7430.940$2.5k+$530.06
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9270.950$1.8k+$43.61
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? · No0.8700.986$1.1k+$132.76
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.9730.995$1.1k+$24.31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2900.285$982.76$17.24
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · No0.0480.000$0.00$100.00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4700.000$0.00$1000.00
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election? · Yes0.7140.000$0.00$300.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 14:09Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2899999999$1000.00
09-12 11:26Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?BUY0.7850330953$1000.00
08-31 20:08Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?BUY0.5199999998$500.00
08-31 18:40Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?BUY0.6599999998$1000.00
08-31 18:37US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?BUY0.8699999993$1000.00
08-31 15:12Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.9729999992$1.1k
08-11 18:49US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.0484850495$100.00
08-07 22:57Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.9574961321$1.6k
08-02 20:15US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4699999999$1000.00
07-26 21:35US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.5253673312$500.00
07-26 20:56Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-26?BUY0.9299999997$100.00
07-26 20:56Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.8239999999$1000.00
07-09 22:05Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.8499999992$1000.00
06-28 12:03Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETBUY0.96$50.00
06-28 11:57Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.8399999993$50.00