PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Saracens7

0x99e2eb98cb94d155d3e41fa86f7cf7d9a0fab7be

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$535.0k
Markets traded
806
Open portfolio
$138.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded806
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0390.887$22.68+$21.68
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0950.278$14.59+$9.59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1000.065$10.40$5.60
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1201.000$8.33+$7.33
Ethereum flipped in 2026? · Yes0.2001.000$5.00+$4.00
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? · Yes0.0900.041$4.10$4.90
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1900.135$3.55$1.45
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0380.024$3.09$1.91
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.021$3.00$7.00
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.3400.185$2.72$2.28
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? · Yes0.0600.031$2.58$2.42
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0400.021$2.56$2.44
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.4000.905$2.26+$1.26
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? · No0.4500.945$2.10+$1.10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes0.4901.000$2.04+$1.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-06 14:09Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.0219999787$1.00
03-06 14:09Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.0329999684$1.00
03-06 14:09Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.4$1.00
03-06 14:08Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.0047169811$1.00
03-06 14:08Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.0056603774$1.00
03-06 14:07Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
03-06 14:04Will Isaline Cornil be the next mayor of Toulon?BUY0.0342426351$5.00
03-06 14:00Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?BUY0.0819999311$1.00
03-06 13:59Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?BUY0.05$1.00
03-06 13:58Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.25$2.00
03-06 13:57Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY0.08$1.00
03-06 13:56Will there be a new supreme leader of Iran before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY0.0619999428$1.00
03-06 13:56Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY0.05$1.00
03-06 13:53Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 9 be between 3,000,000 and 3,200,000?BUY0.0198566351$1.00
03-06 13:51Will "Fuck him up" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15)BUY0.1199998992$1.00