PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x99B4E0b45cB1747745FFBF447D679B9a0c925C38-1775497568464

0x99b4e0b45cb1747745ffbf447d679b9a0c925c38

Realised P&L
$1.69
Volume
$601.19
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$53.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3750.543$14.48+$4.48
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1880.221$7.04+$1.04
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0940.105$5.61+$0.61
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.6000.555$4.62$0.38
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes0.4210.160$1.90$3.10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? · Yes0.5991.000$1.61+$0.65
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · Yes0.6500.977$1.50+$0.50
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.7201.000$1.39+$0.39
Will Marco Rubio visit China by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7801.000$1.28+$0.28
Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2026? · Yes0.8191.000$1.22+$0.22
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? · Yes0.6500.785$1.21+$0.21
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? · Yes0.7400.885$1.20+$0.20
Will Trump visit China by June 30? · Yes0.8601.000$1.16+$0.16
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8300.935$1.13+$0.13
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first? · SpaceX0.9441.000$1.06+$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-24 01:54Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.081999986$5.00
04-20 23:36Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?BUY0.3499998775$1.00
04-20 23:35Starmer out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.65$1.00
04-10 00:02Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?BUY0.74$1.00
04-10 00:00Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
04-09 23:59Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0104451535$1.00
04-09 23:58Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.16$1.00
04-09 23:56Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
04-09 23:56Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
04-09 23:55Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?BUY0.65$1.00
04-09 23:54Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2026?BUY0.819$1.00
04-09 23:51Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?BUY0.54$1.00
04-09 23:50Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?BUY0.4399998064$1.00
04-09 23:49Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?BUY0.2$0.94
04-09 23:49Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.65$1.00