Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-16
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.087. down 0.018 over the period, from 0.105. Range 0.018 to 0.105. 111 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.092	266	266
0.093	55	321
0.094	29	350
0.095	35	385
0.096	220	605
0.097	100	705
0.098	100	805
0.099	494	1,299
0.100	100	1,399
0.101	530	1,929
0.109	301	2,230
0.116	53	2,283

Spread0.007Mid0.088

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.085	139	139
0.084	20	159
0.082	24	183
0.081	29	212
0.080	11	223
0.078	88	311
0.077	276	587
0.074	440	1,027
0.068	625	1,653
0.064	5	1,658
0.062	50	1,708
0.061	53	1,761

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.915	139	139
0.916	20	159
0.918	24	183
0.919	29	212
0.920	11	223
0.922	88	311
0.923	276	587
0.926	440	1,027
0.932	625	1,653
0.936	5	1,658
0.938	50	1,708
0.939	53	1,761

Spread0.007Mid0.911

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.908	266	266
0.907	55	321
0.906	29	350
0.905	35	385
0.904	220	605
0.903	100	705
0.902	100	805
0.901	494	1,299
0.900	100	1,399
0.899	530	1,929
0.891	301	2,230
0.884	53	2,283

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
smalltimezzz	Yes	9,050.75
Elonurmom	Yes	5,404.71
fghsrthrhrshrsth	Yes	5,000
sebyastiens	Yes	5,000
LinaBell🦊	Yes	4,000
TweetPulse.Live	Yes	3,949.94
LuckyMANNN	Yes	3,225.44
ComradeCat	Yes	2,522.81
Poiuztrewq	Yes	2,499.8
cool.guide	Yes	1,750
hirichzhou	Yes	1,501.5
CaprioDiLeo	Yes	1,499.51
ElonJail	Yes	1,060
Mei-ji	Yes	1,000
Kaiji123	Yes	1,000
bipbipbop	Yes	845.55
plymbus	Yes	829
TP1995	Yes	500
Bitgod	Yes	380.82
1111	Yes	300

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
17:48:04	SELL	Yes	0.092	87	$7.99
17:47:06	SELL	Yes	0.092	100	$9.20
17:47:04	SELL	Yes	0.092	100	$9.20
17:47:03	SELL	Yes	0.092	100	$9.20
17:46:09	SELL	Yes	0.092	100	$9.20
17:45:33	SELL	Yes	0.092	100	$9.20
17:23:34	BUY	Yes	0.0929999998	108	$10.00
16:57:55	BUY	Yes	0.0929999928	11	$1.00
15:53:12	BUY	Yes	0.093	359	$33.39
15:09:19	BUY	Yes	0.095	100	$9.50
15:08:43	BUY	Yes	0.092	100	$9.20
15:05:30	SELL	No	0.9076458919	132	$119.42
15:05:12	BUY	Yes	0.0879607156	137	$12.05
15:00:49	BUY	Yes	0.084	75	$6.30
14:57:00	SELL	Yes	0.083	13	$1.08
14:50:22	BUY	Yes	0.077	105	$8.12
14:50:22	BUY	Yes	0.077	57	$4.42
14:50:22	BUY	Yes	0.077	250	$19.25
14:31:40	SELL	Yes	0.076	10	$0.73
14:26:46	BUY	Yes	0.069	43	$3.00
14:25:22	BUY	Yes	0.069	50	$3.45
14:23:15	BUY	Yes	0.069	50	$3.45
14:23:15	BUY	Yes	0.069	100	$6.90
14:15:15	SELL	Yes	0.071	16	$1.10
14:15:00	SELL	Yes	0.075	50	$3.75