PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Assman

0x98ca043f568da4bec55924522f1f7e0c191170e6

Realised P&L
$-219.37
Volume
$156.5k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$36.77

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration96.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.7430.928$15.61+$3.11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8400.845$10.06+$0.06
Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season? · Yes0.2800.435$6.21+$2.21
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5800.405$4.89$2.11
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$6.00
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes0.7880.000$0.00$5.00
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-10 09:11Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.015$46.50
08-10 09:11Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.984$3.1k
08-09 10:31Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8399999664$10.00
08-09 10:31Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.7429999585$12.50
06-28 15:29Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?BUY0.2799999552$4.00
06-28 15:29Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.8199999849$25.00
06-28 15:29Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4819999543$3.90
06-28 15:29Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5799999901$7.00
05-29 09:02Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.947$989.68
05-29 09:01Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.64$9.00
03-12 08:18Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.983$2.2k
03-12 08:18Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.984$2.2k
09-18 22:02Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?BUY0.7879998916$5.00
09-18 22:02Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.15$6.00
02-27 07:01Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?BUY0.7199999952$12.00