Assman
0x98ca043f568da4bec55924522f1f7e0c191170e6
- Realised P&L
- $-219.37
- Volume
- $156.5k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $36.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.743 | 0.928 | $15.61 | +$3.11 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.840 | 0.845 | $10.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.435 | $6.21 | +$2.21 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.405 | $4.89 | −$2.11 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes | 0.788 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.500Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$27.50at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
- +$10.41at 0.606Will Jared Verse win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?
- +$5.26at 0.827Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$4.93at 0.649Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 09:11 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.015 | $46.50 |
| 08-10 09:11 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.984 | $3.1k |
| 08-09 10:31 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8399999664 | $10.00 |
| 08-09 10:31 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.7429999585 | $12.50 |
| 06-28 15:29 | Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.2799999552 | $4.00 |
| 06-28 15:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8199999849 | $25.00 |
| 06-28 15:29 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4819999543 | $3.90 |
| 06-28 15:29 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5799999901 | $7.00 |
| 05-29 09:02 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.947 | $989.68 |
| 05-29 09:01 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.64 | $9.00 |
| 03-12 08:18 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.983 | $2.2k |
| 03-12 08:18 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.984 | $2.2k |
| 09-18 22:02 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | BUY | 0.7879998916 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 22:02 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.15 | $6.00 |
| 02-27 07:01 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BUY | 0.7199999952 | $12.00 |