0x98a445908b4B15222efC598Ed228Fe74F7e8B64D-1723532717369
0x98a445908b4b15222efc598ed228fe74f7e8b64d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $88.8k
- Markets traded
- 773
- Open portfolio
- $569.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded773
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$222.09at 0.319Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
- +$150.64at 0.417Will Trump say "Drone" during White House Correspondents Dinner?
- +$132.33at 0.348Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
- +$116.45at 0.465Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
- +$91.67at 0.619Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 10:01 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.9595289182 | $103.88 |
| 09-28 10:01 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.949 | $23.63 |
| 09-28 10:01 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.9421538462 | $122.48 |
| 09-27 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.4844084077 | $4.99 |
| 09-27 20:50 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.9299999993 | $13.28 |
| 09-27 20:48 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.9299999977 | $8.05 |
| 09-27 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.9398936169 | $202.74 |
| 09-27 18:26 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.56 |
| 09-27 18:26 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.95 | $28.50 |
| 09-27 18:26 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.94625 | $75.70 |
| 09-27 18:26 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.9325637686 | $85.92 |
| 09-27 18:26 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.8909323719 | $47.84 |
| 09-27 10:29 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.87 | $26.10 |
| 09-26 17:28 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.8980838483 | $250.00 |
| 09-26 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |