PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x98a445908b4B15222efC598Ed228Fe74F7e8B64D-1723532717369

0x98a445908b4b15222efc598ed228fe74f7e8b64d

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$88.8k
Markets traded
773
Open portfolio
$569.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded773
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22 million views on day 2? · Yes0.9500.987$259.74+$9.75
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? · No0.9650.972$47.21+$0.34
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? · No0.7610.977$40.94+$9.04
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · Yes0.9090.969$29.21+$1.81
Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · No0.9400.988$28.80+$1.40
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9590.997$25.98+$0.98
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · No0.9000.935$25.97+$0.97
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? · No0.8370.990$25.61+$3.94
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · No0.9500.967$25.43+$0.43
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.890$9.85+$0.00
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes0.9690.985$9.84+$0.15
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? · Yes0.9840.963$9.78−$0.21
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · No0.5550.785$6.79+$1.99
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.5990.639$5.36+$0.34
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes0.9680.976$5.17+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 10:01Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22 million views on day 2?BUY0.9595289182$103.88
09-28 10:01Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22 million views on day 2?BUY0.949$23.63
09-28 10:01Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22 million views on day 2?BUY0.9421538462$122.48
09-27 22:00Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 28?BUY0.4844084077$4.99
09-27 20:50Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 27?BUY0.9299999993$13.28
09-27 20:48Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 27?BUY0.9299999977$8.05
09-27 20:00Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 27?BUY0.9398936169$202.74
09-27 18:26Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 27?BUY0.95$7.56
09-27 18:26Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 27?BUY0.95$28.50
09-27 18:26Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 27?BUY0.94625$75.70
09-27 18:26Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 27?BUY0.9325637686$85.92
09-27 18:26Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 27?BUY0.8909323719$47.84
09-27 10:29Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1?BUY0.87$26.10
09-26 17:28Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 26?BUY0.8980838483$250.00
09-26 05:05Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 26?BUY0.88$4.40