PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xfcylmh

0x97a9a50aa0b5b78c6b4dd06570c91bc5bb395609

Realised P&L
$-46.93
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$66.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31? · No0.9200.987$21.45+$1.45
Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.2900.375$18.75+$4.25
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2440.050$8.91−$35.09
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.2100.145$6.55−$2.90
Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.2300.115$6.33−$6.32
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9610.978$4.07+$0.07
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? · No0.5170.013$0.24−$9.76
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$5.94
Rockets vs. Kings · Rockets0.9100.000$0.00−$4.62
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2280.000$0.00−$11.40
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1990.000$0.00−$9.95
Wizards vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies0.1300.000$0.00−$3.90
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.2790.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$6.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 00:57Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?SELL0.081$3.28
09-17 07:16Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31?BUY0.92$20.00
09-11 09:17Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.9609999781$4.00
09-04 02:49Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.2789214923$15.00
09-03 06:46Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.21$9.45
08-30 07:07Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.3699999894$15.00
08-28 05:54Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?BUY0.0650855365$5.00
08-19 01:26Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?BUY0.4938271605$10.00
08-18 04:29Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?BUY0.5169999956$10.00
08-17 12:06Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?BUY0.23$12.65
08-15 09:28Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?BUY0.29$14.50
08-14 00:48Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.2026342452$10.00
08-12 17:00Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?SELL0.2995208$29.95
08-12 01:43Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?BUY0.036$3.60
08-12 01:42UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.76$7.60