xfcylmh
0x97a9a50aa0b5b78c6b4dd06570c91bc5bb395609
- Realised P&L
- $-46.93
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $66.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.35at 0.113Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$41.66at 0.167Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
- +$25.13at 0.038Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?
- +$15.30at 0.490Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
- +$11.58at 0.711Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 00:57 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.081 | $3.28 |
| 09-17 07:16 | Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 09:17 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9609999781 | $4.00 |
| 09-04 02:49 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.2789214923 | $15.00 |
| 09-03 06:46 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.21 | $9.45 |
| 08-30 07:07 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.3699999894 | $15.00 |
| 08-28 05:54 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.0650855365 | $5.00 |
| 08-19 01:26 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.4938271605 | $10.00 |
| 08-18 04:29 | Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | BUY | 0.5169999956 | $10.00 |
| 08-17 12:06 | Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.23 | $12.65 |
| 08-15 09:28 | Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.29 | $14.50 |
| 08-14 00:48 | Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.2026342452 | $10.00 |
| 08-12 17:00 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? | SELL | 0.2995208 | $29.95 |
| 08-12 01:43 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? | BUY | 0.036 | $3.60 |
| 08-12 01:42 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.76 | $7.60 |