burningb13
0x977dae67b3250c932c1006a801a7df6518712ca8
- Realised P&L
- $-20.51
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $131.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.23at 0.520NATO downs another Russian drone by October 15?
- +$8.13at 0.480US imports Russian diesel by October 31?
- +$4.23at 0.780Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$1.80at 0.612Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 21:06 | Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3031500024 | $9.63 |
| 10-29 21:05 | US imports Russian diesel before Russia x Ukraine peace talks? | BUY | 0.4711538416 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 21:04 | NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks? | BUY | 0.7743113919 | $15.00 |
| 10-15 21:04 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999851 | $15.00 |
| 10-15 21:01 | Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.73 | $12.16 |
| 10-15 21:00 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 17:32 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $18.12 |
| 10-12 14:54 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999954 | $6.00 |
| 10-11 15:09 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 18:40 | Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 13:38 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 20:33 | NATO downs another Russian drone by October 15? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 20:28 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.0276883217 | $3.00 |
| 09-27 20:24 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999957 | $30.00 |
| 09-27 20:22 | Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31? | BUY | 0.0289421157 | $10.00 |