0x96a08796145c9fdc1753a7afcbbee38748c2191b
- Realised P&L
- $-108.80
- Volume
- $14.9k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.345 | $1.2k | −$154.08 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.203 | 0.221 | $61.84 | +$4.91 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.269 | 0.162 | $44.78 | −$29.81 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.795 | 0.841 | $20.50 | +$1.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.49at 0.785Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$-58.04at 0.633Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 07:57 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.858 | $132.19 |
| 08-24 01:42 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.858 | $65.03 |
| 08-20 04:31 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.854 | $67.05 |
| 08-09 16:32 | Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.3k |
| 07-08 09:22 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.776 | $439.22 |
| 07-02 02:00 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.269 | $229.26 |
| 06-30 23:59 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.795 | $19.39 |
| 06-25 21:02 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.203 | $327.07 |
| 06-24 14:36 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.616 | $600.61 |
| 05-09 13:55 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.628 | $931.02 |
| 04-28 06:36 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.612 | $319.63 |