PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

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0x967a4186b41bdedac9b45c39c040fded8f6b98b3

Realised P&L
$69.50
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$438.25

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9600.935$97.40−$2.60
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8300.960$57.83+$7.83
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8400.935$55.65+$5.65
Will Minnesota have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · Yes0.7900.863$54.62+$4.62
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? · No0.6700.985$51.40+$16.40
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · No0.5320.630$47.37+$7.37
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? · No0.3300.984$44.73+$29.73
Will Minnesota have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · Yes0.6000.515$21.46−$3.54
Will Minnesota have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · Yes0.3600.255$7.79−$3.21
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.9130.000$0.00−$41.18
Kash Patel out by June 30? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 11:45Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?BUY0.5320183896$40.00
10-01 16:21Will Minnesota have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?BUY0.3599999948$11.00
10-01 16:20Will Minnesota have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?BUY0.5999999952$25.00
10-01 16:20Will Minnesota have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?BUY0.7899999905$50.00
10-01 16:16Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?BUY0.9599999969$100.00
07-16 18:47Trump alleges foreign election interference by July 16?BUY0.8599999862$20.00
05-07 01:41Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.8399999879$50.00
04-21 20:18US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.9099999992$36.18
04-21 20:18Kash Patel out by June 30?BUY0.629999988$10.00
04-21 20:17US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.9399999662$5.00
04-21 20:16US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?BUY0.1299999789$5.00
04-12 13:03Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?BUY0.6703658798$35.00
04-12 13:03Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?BUY0.3299999886$15.00
04-01 20:09Will Trump say "Vance" or "Rubio" during Address to the Nation?BUY0.3799999742$5.00
04-01 20:08Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?BUY0.9299999888$5.00