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Traders

parliament-568

0x9640cde23375f6eaa5abe3cf769043b078eb283e

Realised P&L
$135.01
Volume
$40.1k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$156.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1600.115$71.88$28.13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1600.165$51.56+$1.56
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.1300.021$16.54$83.46
China coup attempt before 2027? · Yes0.0250.041$16.20+$6.20
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$50.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$100.00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$50.00
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 22:45Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.16$50.00
06-13 16:18China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.025$10.00
06-13 16:12Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.16$100.00
04-07 14:39Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?BUY0.007$10.00
04-07 14:38Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?BUY0.2788023129$85.00
04-07 14:38Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?BUY0.01811565$60.00
04-06 12:07US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.996$401.51
04-02 19:56US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.64$258.00
03-26 05:58Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.0299999994$50.00
03-26 05:56Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.1299999989$100.00
03-01 16:19Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.998$99.80
02-25 09:25US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?BUY0.3673790814$221.78
02-25 09:24Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.10078662$151.18
01-10 07:28Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.257999997$50.00
01-10 07:28Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.38$38.00
Trader parliament-568 · PolyBot Pro