0x963137a0BA0B02EBf6F37710023Cc1B0303289A1-1764031525036
0x963137a0ba0b02ebf6f37710023cc1b0303289a1
- Realised P&L
- $66.0k
- Volume
- $4.37M
- Markets traded
- 325
- Open portfolio
- $41.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded325
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.3kat 0.752Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$7.2kat 0.679US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$6.7kat 0.831Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
- +$4.8kat 0.881Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
- +$4.3kat 0.867Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:27 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $251.98 |
| 11-02 00:25 | Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $705.85 |
| 11-02 00:25 | Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.2k |
| 11-01 21:32 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.964 | $321.01 |
| 11-01 17:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $307.51 |
| 11-01 17:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in November? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.00 |
| 11-01 17:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in November? | BUY | 0.977 | $84.48 |
| 11-01 17:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November? | BUY | 0.969 | $19.38 |
| 11-01 07:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $124.14 |
| 11-01 07:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.93 | $41.14 |
| 11-01 07:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November? | BUY | 0.966 | $19.32 |
| 11-01 07:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in November? | BUY | 0.967 | $210.72 |
| 10-31 21:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.4k |
| 10-31 21:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November? | BUY | 0.971 | $510.19 |
| 10-31 21:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November? | BUY | 0.97 | $164.90 |