PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

itsKey

0x95c2457b36529ab8717e2db80b936b6533a8485b

Realised P&L
$192.30
Volume
$186.0k
Markets traded
765
Open portfolio
$914.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded765
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.6520.895$41.19+$11.19
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9460.955$39.08+$0.38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8520.825$27.65$0.90
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.8000.845$22.20+$1.18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No0.7290.835$17.18+$2.18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? · Yes0.3540.295$16.67$3.33
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? · No0.9230.797$12.96$2.04
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · No0.6280.750$11.94+$1.94
Will Elon Musk post about $LAPTOP by September 30? · No0.8440.987$11.69+$1.69
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.7310.855$11.69+$1.69
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.7260.836$11.50+$1.50
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.8280.945$11.40+$1.40
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? · No0.8430.940$11.16+$1.16
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? · No0.9170.958$10.44+$0.44
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? · No0.7790.810$10.39+$0.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 14:56Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.5299999587$5.00
09-20 10:08Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.7119999909$5.00
09-20 09:58US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?BUY0.3899999945$5.00
09-14 22:27Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?BUY0.9099999854$2.50
09-14 18:41Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?BUY0.0699999994$2.50
09-14 18:37Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?BUY0.119999999$5.00
09-14 18:36Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?SELL0.966$10.22
09-14 15:24Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9199999853$2.50
09-14 15:16US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?BUY0.9399999887$5.00
09-14 15:11Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?BUY0.3799999924$5.00
09-14 15:11Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1$5.00
09-14 14:50Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?BUY0.9619998515$5.00
09-14 04:02US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?SELL0.19$5.69
09-14 03:57Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?BUY0.8599999243$5.00
09-14 03:52Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8$5.00