itsKey
0x95c2457b36529ab8717e2db80b936b6533a8485b
- Realised P&L
- $192.30
- Volume
- $186.0k
- Markets traded
- 765
- Open portfolio
- $914.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded765
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$191.15at 0.151Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?
- +$164.34at 0.023Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
- +$135.91at 0.911US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$122.22at 0.969Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$66.29at 0.072Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 14:56 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 10:08 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.7119999909 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 09:58 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 22:27 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999854 | $2.50 |
| 09-14 18:41 | Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $2.50 |
| 09-14 18:37 | Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 18:36 | Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? | SELL | 0.966 | $10.22 |
| 09-14 15:24 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999853 | $2.50 |
| 09-14 15:16 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | BUY | 0.9399999887 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 15:11 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 15:11 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 14:50 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | BUY | 0.9619998515 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 04:02 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30? | SELL | 0.19 | $5.69 |
| 09-14 03:57 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999243 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 03:52 | Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |