Crock95
0x9524e6caca4da8aa811b57564a0a5a6d9fc286cf
- Realised P&L
- $218.9k
- Volume
- $5.90M
- Markets traded
- 490
- Open portfolio
- $14.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded490
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$120.0kat 0.044Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$14.8kat 0.129Will Moldova's EU membership referendum pass?
- +$11.2kat 0.069Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
- +$6.9kat 0.065Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
- +$6.5kat 0.100Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 23:58 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Over/Under 31%? | BUY | 0.9816174329 | $94.37 |
| 09-13 23:57 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or C? | BUY | 0.9806714849 | $89.55 |
| 09-13 23:54 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to C or KD? | BUY | 0.9696469226 | $201.03 |
| 09-13 23:52 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%? | BUY | 0.9883460395 | $152.98 |
| 09-13 23:50 | Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.9887985773 | $26.41 |
| 09-13 23:50 | Will Green Party (MP) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.9877242556 | $520.83 |
| 09-13 22:45 | Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 09-13 20:32 | Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.3526131446 | $550.84 |
| 09-13 20:31 | Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.6470545714 | $905.88 |
| 09-13 20:27 | Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.4002538667 | $480.30 |
| 09-13 20:23 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.29 | $870.00 |
| 09-13 19:58 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.1k |
| 09-13 19:42 | Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.3672598374 | $233.61 |
| 09-13 19:35 | Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.3785953238 | $401.74 |
| 09-13 19:27 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.11 | $51.44 |