Crock95
0x9524e6caca4da8aa811b57564a0a5a6d9fc286cf
- Realised P&L
- $211.8k
- Volume
- $5.75M
- Markets traded
- 461
- Open portfolio
- $15.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded461
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$120.0kat 0.044Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$14.8kat 0.129Will Moldova's EU membership referendum pass?
- +$11.2kat 0.069Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
- +$6.9kat 0.065Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
- +$6.5kat 0.100Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 12:46 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.39 | $61.09 |
| 07-31 13:40 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $125.28 |
| 07-25 19:52 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.2101947763 | $245.29 |
| 07-18 12:18 | Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2 | $400.00 |
| 07-14 14:20 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 07-09 21:37 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.16 | $56.00 |
| 07-06 21:07 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.400542012 | $180.24 |
| 06-24 19:36 | Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.25 | $37.38 |
| 06-22 16:51 | Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.11 | $16.50 |
| 06-21 21:45 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.43 |
| 06-21 21:36 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%? | SELL | 0.5392225 | $107.84 |
| 06-21 21:32 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%? | SELL | 0.7014270819 | $100.91 |
| 06-21 21:27 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%? | BUY | 0.5168694122 | $108.69 |
| 06-21 21:26 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%? | BUY | 0.07 | $39.90 |
| 06-21 21:19 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%? | BUY | 0.56 | $264.96 |