GaioMario
0x94d0f4a485b7670d244224b33e1659a8b1959e65
- Realised P&L
- $11.0k
- Volume
- $472.2k
- Markets traded
- 350
- Open portfolio
- $24.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded350
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$994.55at 0.777Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
- +$596.69at 0.777Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?
- +$590.00at 0.803Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
- +$556.52at 0.876Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
- +$513.36at 0.396Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 22:28 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2348487 | $234.85 |
| 09-28 22:28 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0807100071 | $80.71 |
| 09-27 20:56 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | SELL | 0.4507772122 | $346.26 |
| 09-27 10:37 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5370690524 | $1.1k |
| 09-24 14:30 | Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? | SELL | 0.39 | $40.95 |
| 09-22 20:40 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9548095273 | $1.0k |
| 09-20 18:40 | Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? | SELL | 0.2698002544 | $199.37 |
| 09-20 12:38 | Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? | SELL | 0.3395733333 | $50.94 |
| 09-18 12:38 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? | SELL | 0.210521 | $63.16 |
| 09-18 12:37 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? | SELL | 0.0939996337 | $30.79 |
| 09-12 23:51 | Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $42.00 |
| 09-10 12:39 | Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by September 30? | SELL | 0.2766852203 | $26.25 |
| 09-04 21:04 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5731513005 | $500.00 |
| 08-19 20:13 | Will Russia capture Svitle by August 31? | BUY | 0.6899999636 | $18.00 |
| 08-19 19:36 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? | SELL | 0.86 | $603.41 |