PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

GaioMario

0x94d0f4a485b7670d244224b33e1659a8b1959e65

Realised P&L
$11.0k
Volume
$472.2k
Markets traded
350
Open portfolio
$24.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded350
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 22:28Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2348487$234.85
09-28 22:28Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?SELL0.0807100071$80.71
09-27 20:56Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?SELL0.4507772122$346.26
09-27 10:37Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5370690524$1.1k
09-24 14:30Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?SELL0.39$40.95
09-22 20:40Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?SELL0.9548095273$1.0k
09-20 18:40Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?SELL0.2698002544$199.37
09-20 12:38Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?SELL0.3395733333$50.94
09-18 12:38Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?SELL0.210521$63.16
09-18 12:37Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?SELL0.0939996337$30.79
09-12 23:51Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026?BUY0.56$42.00
09-10 12:39Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by September 30?SELL0.2766852203$26.25
09-04 21:04Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5731513005$500.00
08-19 20:13Will Russia capture Svitle by August 31?BUY0.6899999636$18.00
08-19 19:36Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?SELL0.86$603.41