BillyBoy94
0x94b08a4aa9c9ccfb9c8fecf6891e1ffff0809d34
- Realised P&L
- $3.4k
- Volume
- $635.2k
- Markets traded
- 481
- Open portfolio
- $9.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded481
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.095Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–3.00 in November?
- +$2.9kat 0.168Will egg prices be more than $6.00 in March?
- +$2.7kat 0.198Will egg prices be between $5.00 and $5.25 in April?
- +$1.5kat 0.500Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4 in June?
- +$969.56at 0.944Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 06:58 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.91 |
| 07-19 12:31 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | BUY | 0.9185563394 | $455.70 |
| 07-14 08:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5856836248 | $600.00 |
| 07-14 08:01 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3899999994 | $200.00 |
| 07-07 10:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.61 | $700.00 |
| 07-01 15:30 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.90 |
| 06-28 12:51 | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28? | BUY | 0.996 | $112.91 |
| 06-28 12:51 | Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28? | BUY | 0.992 | $142.21 |
| 06-28 12:51 | Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28? | BUY | 0.982 | $149.39 |
| 06-28 12:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.65 | $633.75 |
| 06-27 09:05 | Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.73 | $119.01 |
| 06-27 09:03 | Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.00–$3.25 in June? | SELL | 0.998 | $27.64 |
| 06-24 07:57 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.976 | $585.60 |
| 06-22 08:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.9599999996 | $1000.00 |
| 06-22 08:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $499.50 |