Pollyputthekettleon
0x94aba44f15d4160fdb3d671000157408a00d6bb8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $92.1k
- Markets traded
- 3,773
- Open portfolio
- $106.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,773
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$420.35at 0.295Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
- +$287.65at 0.446Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
- +$216.89at 0.470Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
- +$214.94at 0.443Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
- +$190.41at 0.397Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 10:22 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | SELL | 0.18 | $40.68 |
| 08-01 10:22 | Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? | SELL | 0.1378212885 | $49.20 |
| 07-20 22:07 | Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 07-20 22:07 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.77 | $66.99 |
| 07-18 17:34 | Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $16.64 |
| 07-18 17:34 | Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $11.75 |
| 07-18 17:34 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.4 | $6.00 |
| 07-16 18:58 | Will Teresa Ruiz be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.05 | $15.80 |
| 07-07 16:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 07-07 16:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 07-07 14:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 07-06 11:37 | Ukraine coup attempt by December 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.45 |
| 07-05 13:23 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 13:23 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 02:39 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.76 | $4.56 |