PolyBot

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Traders

Pollyputthekettleon

0x94aba44f15d4160fdb3d671000157408a00d6bb8

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$92.1k
Markets traded
3,773
Open portfolio
$106.61

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,773
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration51.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 10:22Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?SELL0.18$40.68
08-01 10:22Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?SELL0.1378212885$49.20
07-20 22:07Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?SELL0.36$7.20
07-20 22:07Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?SELL0.77$66.99
07-18 17:34Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?SELL0.52$16.64
07-18 17:34Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?SELL0.47$11.75
07-18 17:34Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?SELL0.4$6.00
07-16 18:58Will Teresa Ruiz be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic nominee?SELL0.05$15.80
07-07 16:01Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.43$2.15
07-07 16:01Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.42$2.10
07-07 14:15Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.46$2.30
07-06 11:37Ukraine coup attempt by December 31?SELL0.05$1.45
07-05 13:23Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1$1.00
07-05 13:23Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
07-05 02:39Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.76$4.56