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Traders

Mwhale

0x9419d77566df79c2f8c6679c9933c2ac76aea40f

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$4.22M
Markets traded
515
Open portfolio
$28.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded515
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8880.976$10.8k+$964.26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.973$7.3k+$694.56
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No0.8590.895$6.2k+$249.78
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8710.875$1.9k+$8.43
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · No0.9340.968$1.1k+$36.55
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? · No0.8800.905$866.15+$23.93
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.3570.135$218.62−$359.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 20:50Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.18$21.49
09-28 06:21Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$153.28
09-24 16:21Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.958$22.81
09-12 16:04Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?SELL0.71$21.30
09-12 16:04Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?SELL0.71$21.30
09-12 16:04Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?SELL0.71$21.30
09-12 16:03Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?SELL0.71$14.20
09-12 16:03Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?SELL0.71$91.95
09-12 15:56Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?SELL0.73$43.80
09-12 15:49Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?SELL0.77$624.67
09-12 15:48Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?SELL0.78$11.66
09-12 15:46Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?SELL0.66$0.18
09-12 15:46Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?SELL0.6595336095$533.27
09-10 14:43Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?BUY0.74$74.00
09-02 16:40Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.86$167.10