TheUniverseMan
0x941849a22cc7347d3e16ca702ba51ccdee834f2a
- Realised P&L
- $-320.07
- Volume
- $287.3k
- Markets traded
- 2,200
- Open portfolio
- $126.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,200
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$887.24at 0.325Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$329.02at 0.231Trump wins every swing state?
- +$280.31at 0.410Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?
- +$268.04at 0.572Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$195.01at 0.289Will Trump win Iowa by 12+ points?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 16:49 | SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? | SELL | 0.997 | $10.61 |
| 06-15 17:04 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0519999513 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 17:04 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0270000008 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 17:39 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 06-05 16:54 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.3009999514 | $3.29 |
| 06-05 16:54 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $2.92 |
| 06-01 16:28 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 05-30 17:01 | Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.98 | $2.48 |
| 05-29 02:28 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0939999894 | $7.92 |
| 05-29 02:27 | Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $2.77 |
| 05-29 02:27 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $5.43 |
| 05-19 23:53 | Will the Democratic Party win the KY-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 23:53 | Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 23:47 | Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 05-19 23:47 | Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 6% and 9%? | BUY | 0.1959999334 | $2.00 |