0x940bb57364579f0f1ad08c04d4b6b2ed925d368a
0x940bb57364579f0f1ad08c04d4b6b2ed925d368a
- Realised P&L
- $-322.39
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $238.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.535 | $133.75 | +$113.75 |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.170 | $53.13 | +$3.13 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.686 | 0.365 | $51.75 | −$45.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-53.33at 0.359Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?
- +$-53.47at 0.285Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?
- +$-53.84at 0.086Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
- +$-53.86at 0.075Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?
- +$-107.90at 0.026Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 00:36 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.6859169359 | $97.25 |
| 08-06 00:36 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $20.00 |
| 08-06 00:21 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.3365261612 | $50.00 |
| 08-06 00:20 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.2665813606 | $50.00 |
| 08-06 00:17 | US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $50.00 |
| 08-06 00:13 | Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999987 | $50.00 |
| 08-06 00:11 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $50.00 |
| 08-06 00:07 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.0238765039 | $100.00 |