PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

destiny

0x93f2e2f8313faae5abd2ff06623ef69917eca879

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$285.2k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$4.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9770.977$2.0k+$0.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? · Yes0.9690.999$871.29+$26.16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? · Yes0.9560.985$591.00+$17.40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? · Yes0.9240.943$471.25+$9.25
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2010.199$59.55−$0.75
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1320.132$39.45−$0.15
O/U 0.5 Rounds · Over0.8540.000$0.00−$395.24
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card) · Steve Garcia0.4400.000$0.00−$132.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00−$120.75
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.0110.000$0.00−$80.00
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$1.69
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$209.54
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1150.000$0.00−$206.54
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00−$58.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 19:45Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.132$39.60
10-07 19:45Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.201$60.30
10-07 19:44US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.94$282.00
10-07 19:44US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?BUY0.962$288.60
10-05 19:27US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.9$180.00
10-05 19:27US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?BUY0.95$285.00
10-05 19:27US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?BUY0.969$532.54
10-05 19:26US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.73$292.00
10-05 19:16Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.977$2.0k
07-14 20:45Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.02$15.00
07-12 09:37Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.212$68.05
07-11 18:29O/U 0.5 RoundsBUY0.85$266.06
07-11 18:03O/U 2.5 RoundsBUY0.53$53.00
07-07 18:13Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.18$72.00
07-07 17:37Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.094$35.72