destiny
0x93f2e2f8313faae5abd2ff06623ef69917eca879
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $285.2k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.1kat 0.683Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$1.8kat 0.455Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.168Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$804.46at 0.584Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$628.12at 0.886Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 19:45 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.132 | $39.60 |
| 10-07 19:45 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.201 | $60.30 |
| 10-07 19:44 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | BUY | 0.94 | $282.00 |
| 10-07 19:44 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | BUY | 0.962 | $288.60 |
| 10-05 19:27 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | BUY | 0.9 | $180.00 |
| 10-05 19:27 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | BUY | 0.95 | $285.00 |
| 10-05 19:27 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | BUY | 0.969 | $532.54 |
| 10-05 19:26 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.73 | $292.00 |
| 10-05 19:16 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.977 | $2.0k |
| 07-14 20:45 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.02 | $15.00 |
| 07-12 09:37 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.212 | $68.05 |
| 07-11 18:29 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.85 | $266.06 |
| 07-11 18:03 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.53 | $53.00 |
| 07-07 18:13 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.18 | $72.00 |
| 07-07 17:37 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.094 | $35.72 |