76dgdf
0x93bcc190bee49f8c3f77d2dce0770ef23a49c5be
- Realised P&L
- $-102.94
- Volume
- $86.7k
- Markets traded
- 384
- Open portfolio
- $110.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded384
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.32at 0.349Will Moonshot be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?
- +$11.16at 0.104Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$8.35at 0.053Will Russell Fry win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
- +$3.77at 0.003Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$2.93at 0.117Will Jonathan Kuminga play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 01:44 | Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 08-28 17:45 | Will Jonathan Kuminga play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-26 18:51 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.21 |
| 08-26 18:50 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.37 |
| 08-22 08:40 | Will DeMar DeRozan play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 08-21 15:23 | Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.025 | $1.63 |
| 08-18 10:45 | Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.00 |
| 08-15 16:11 | Will Microsoft be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.16 |
| 08-15 08:36 | Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.5 | $3.42 |
| 08-15 07:51 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.56 |
| 08-15 07:00 | Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.77 |
| 08-15 04:46 | Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-15 04:42 | Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.21 |
| 08-14 10:20 | Will Jonathan Kuminga play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-14 10:16 | Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $3.45 |