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Traders

SebasGimV

0x934948c96420a7ad25a195ad8ebc01407c218817

Realised P&L
$223.70
Volume
$35.3k
Markets traded
90
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded90
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.9810.928$463.53−$26.21
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.9890.980$438.78−$4.26
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? · No0.9700.991$377.57+$8.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7800.825$330.00+$18.00
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.8800.825$330.00−$22.00
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9530.981$202.09+$5.77
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9640.956$126.19−$1.04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No0.9380.000$0.00−$187.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 17:19Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.953$196.32
09-13 16:28Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.989$443.03
09-13 15:48Will $LAPTOP reach $10 by September 30, 2026?BUY0.995$331.33
08-09 16:15Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.9639$127.23
08-09 16:03Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?BUY0.967$290.10
08-09 15:58Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?BUY0.974$194.80
08-09 15:55Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?SELL0.996$498.00
08-06 15:47Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?BUY0.93$40.70
08-05 14:47Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.964$192.80
07-16 12:21Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?BUY0.7$140.00
07-16 12:21Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.77$154.00
07-16 12:18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?SELL0.998$499.00
07-11 15:10Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.989$131.52
07-10 17:45IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?BUY0.97$194.00
07-10 13:52Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.985$394.00
Trader SebasGimV · PolyBot Pro