PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kidnosi

0x92cb655a0d179cc6fd136f835285dc964065ee05

Realised P&L
$-20.20
Volume
$33.1k
Markets traded
556
Open portfolio
$218.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded556
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.9200.982$53.34+$3.34
Trump renames AI by September 30? · No0.9500.655$41.37$18.63
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.7100.410$40.42$29.58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.225$23.68+$3.68
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25? · Yes0.7190.800$22.25+$2.25
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2460.060$21.90$68.10
Will Iran target Bahrain by September 30, 2026? · No0.4970.770$15.48+$5.48
Spread: France (-3.5) · France0.3400.000$0.00$5.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5960.000$0.00$25.00
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$5.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7320.000$0.00$25.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$5.00
Will St. Louis City SC vs. Austin FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$2.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.7800.000$0.00$10.00
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 · TheMongolz0.8400.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 16:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25?BUY0.7192118172$20.00
09-21 06:32Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.95$60.00
09-20 14:14Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?SELL0.81$26.55
09-20 14:13U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?SELL0.89$58.54
09-20 13:30Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.6099999927$20.00
09-18 18:06Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026SELL0.1734297319$10.67
09-14 16:50Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8499999915$30.00
09-14 15:28U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?BUY0.759999997$50.00
09-14 06:32Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 16?SELL0.72$22.50
09-13 12:41Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.7899999968$20.00
09-13 12:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 16?BUY0.64$20.00
09-13 12:33Will Iran target Bahrain by September 30, 2026?BUY0.4975124378$10.00
09-10 15:28Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.37$10.72
09-02 21:31Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
08-31 11:59Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1899999939$20.00