kidnosi
0x92cb655a0d179cc6fd136f835285dc964065ee05
- Realised P&L
- $-17.43
- Volume
- $31.8k
- Markets traded
- 536
- Open portfolio
- $328.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded536
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
- +$50.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
- +$42.95at 0.347Spread: France (-1.5)
- +$40.00at 0.200Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$33.77at 0.336Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 16:53 | Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on August 7? | BUY | 0.9406341982 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 16:52 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.998 | $27.34 |
| 08-03 16:35 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 12:42 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $35.00 |
| 08-03 12:41 | Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.95 | $30.00 |
| 08-03 12:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $40.00 |
| 08-03 12:37 | The Polymarket Classic: Winner | SELL | 0.9 | $17.31 |
| 08-01 14:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.7299999974 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 14:22 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 13:45 | The Polymarket Classic: Winner | BUY | 0.7799999979 | $15.00 |
| 08-01 12:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 11:42 | Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 10:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.9099999993 | $50.00 |
| 07-27 10:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | BUY | 0.96 | $15.00 |
| 07-27 10:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? | SELL | 0.997 | $41.31 |