PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

kidnosi

0x92cb655a0d179cc6fd136f835285dc964065ee05

Realised P&L
$-17.43
Volume
$31.8k
Markets traded
536
Open portfolio
$328.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded536
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6? · Yes0.9100.977$53.68+$3.68
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.9100.935$51.37+$1.37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7? · Yes0.8900.963$43.26+$3.26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8800.855$34.01$0.99
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3990.265$33.18$16.82
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.7300.795$32.67+$2.67
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? · Yes0.9500.940$29.68$0.32
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0034 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4920.340$24.16$10.84
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on August 7? · Yes0.9410.342$18.18$31.82
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · Yes0.1620.130$8.00$2.00
Spread: France (-3.5) · France0.3400.000$0.00$5.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5960.000$0.00$25.00
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$5.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7320.000$0.00$25.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 16:53Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on August 7?BUY0.9406341982$50.00
08-03 16:52Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.998$27.34
08-03 16:35Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.2799999854$10.00
08-03 12:42Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.88$35.00
08-03 12:41Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?BUY0.95$30.00
08-03 12:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7?BUY0.8899999996$40.00
08-03 12:37The Polymarket Classic: WinnerSELL0.9$17.31
08-01 14:23Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.7299999974$20.00
08-01 14:22Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.3099999836$10.00
08-01 13:45The Polymarket Classic: WinnerBUY0.7799999979$15.00
08-01 12:53Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETBUY0.8699999983$5.00
08-01 11:42Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?BUY0.699999993$10.00
08-01 10:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6?BUY0.9099999993$50.00
07-27 10:08Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?BUY0.96$15.00
07-27 10:07Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?SELL0.997$41.31