kidnosi
0x92cb655a0d179cc6fd136f835285dc964065ee05
- Realised P&L
- $-20.20
- Volume
- $33.1k
- Markets traded
- 556
- Open portfolio
- $218.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded556
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
- +$50.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
- +$42.02at 0.354Spread: France (-1.5)
- +$39.76at 0.205Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$35.12at 0.506Will Pump.fun reach $0.0034 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 16:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.7192118172 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 06:32 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $60.00 |
| 09-20 14:14 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | SELL | 0.81 | $26.55 |
| 09-20 14:13 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $58.54 |
| 09-20 13:30 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.6099999927 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 18:06 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | SELL | 0.1734297319 | $10.67 |
| 09-14 16:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $30.00 |
| 09-14 15:28 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.759999997 | $50.00 |
| 09-14 06:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.72 | $22.50 |
| 09-13 12:41 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.7899999968 | $20.00 |
| 09-13 12:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 09-13 12:33 | Will Iran target Bahrain by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4975124378 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 15:28 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.37 | $10.72 |
| 09-02 21:31 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 08-31 11:59 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999939 | $20.00 |