0x92bd454d4cA221868612A86193bd3D431e32F597-1772323495920
0x92bd454d4ca221868612a86193bd3d431e32f597
- Realised P&L
- $11.67
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $642.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.86at 0.790Will Matt Wallace finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?
- +$49.20at 0.760Will the final be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$22.63at 0.889Will the final be FRA vs NOR at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.25at 0.650Will Patrick Cantlay finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Rocket Classic?
- +$0.64at 0.934US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:49 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.83 | $173.47 |
| 07-30 22:25 | Will Patrick Cantlay finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.65 | $9.75 |
| 07-28 00:25 | Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.35 |
| 07-21 19:54 | Will Gordon Sargent finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 3M Open? | BUY | 0.0697378049 | $14.30 |
| 07-19 19:53 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.024 | $3.00 |
| 07-15 21:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $52.80 |
| 07-14 23:47 | Will Freddie Freeman record a hit at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game? | BUY | 0.32 | $16.00 |
| 07-14 23:33 | Will Freddie Freeman record a hit at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game? | BUY | 0.3182285714 | $55.69 |
| 07-14 23:26 | Will Freddie Freeman record a hit at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game? | BUY | 0.31 | $68.51 |
| 07-14 22:43 | Will James Wood hit a home run at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game? | SELL | 0.07 | $5.55 |
| 07-14 21:26 | Will James Wood hit a home run at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game? | BUY | 0.11 | $14.19 |
| 07-13 22:39 | Will Kristoffer Reitan finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship? | BUY | 0.0444563802 | $1.37 |
| 07-13 22:27 | Will Kristoffer Reitan finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship? | BUY | 0.035 | $1.75 |
| 07-13 21:53 | Will Max Homa finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship? | BUY | 0.029902439 | $6.13 |
| 07-13 21:33 | Will Matt Wallace finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship? | BUY | 0.79 | $126.40 |