supergauss
0x929b5a1b06f46023605822a36cfc99ee52942205
- Realised P&L
- $-5.03
- Volume
- $24.6k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $284.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.55at 0.380North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?
- +$8.18at 0.776France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
- +$6.36at 0.440Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?
- +$5.13at 0.431Will Iran strike Syria in March?
- +$3.75at 0.146Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 15:46 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 15:44 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 15:34 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 15:32 | Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? | BUY | 0.9199995952 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 15:32 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999652 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 15:28 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 15:27 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 17:29 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 11:50 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.69 |
| 10-11 11:46 | Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? | BUY | 0.179999997 | $4.78 |
| 10-11 11:46 | Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $2.90 |
| 10-11 11:45 | Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? | BUY | 0.1793114405 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 11:45 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.986 | $2.66 |
| 10-11 11:44 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.977 | $4.04 |
| 10-11 11:32 | Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |