PolyBot

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Traders

supergauss

0x929b5a1b06f46023605822a36cfc99ee52942205

Realised P&L
$-5.03
Volume
$24.6k
Markets traded
109
Open portfolio
$284.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded109
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? · No0.9210.946$30.82+$0.82
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · No0.5880.895$30.45+$10.45
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · No0.8600.957$22.24+$2.24
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.8800.965$21.93+$1.93
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.8500.930$21.88+$1.88
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? · No0.8400.908$16.22+$1.22
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · No0.5950.855$15.80+$4.80
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? · No0.1750.135$15.27−$4.48
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · No0.7600.915$12.04+$2.04
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027? · No0.9800.903$11.98−$1.02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · No0.9400.963$11.37+$0.27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.8800.901$10.24+$0.24
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · No0.6260.665$8.33+$0.49
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.987$7.59+$0.19
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8200.915$6.70+$0.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 15:46Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?BUY0.699999965$2.00
10-20 15:44Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
10-20 15:34Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?BUY0.16$1.00
10-20 15:32Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?BUY0.9199995952$1.00
10-20 15:32Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?BUY0.8699999652$3.00
10-20 15:28Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?BUY0.29999994$1.00
10-20 15:27Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?BUY0.04$1.00
10-19 17:29Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.59999988$1.00
10-11 11:50Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?SELL0.18$0.69
10-11 11:46Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?BUY0.179999997$4.78
10-11 11:46Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?SELL0.66$2.90
10-11 11:45Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?BUY0.1793114405$5.00
10-11 11:45Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.986$2.66
10-11 11:44Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?SELL0.977$4.04
10-11 11:32Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?BUY0.0899999928$1.00