frosique1
0x91c7f544a6efad9825185c2bca1f1a95cc92b576
- Realised P&L
- $-5.2k
- Volume
- $537.6k
- Markets traded
- 580
- Open portfolio
- $16.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded580
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$631.45at 0.879Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$617.93at 0.727Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
- +$437.41at 0.754Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$418.32at 0.773Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$415.63at 0.897France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:05 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.992 | $119.04 |
| 09-14 05:34 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.055 | $1.38 |
| 09-12 16:32 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $186.00 |
| 09-12 15:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.983 | $491.50 |
| 09-11 08:35 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 09-11 02:08 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $51.00 |
| 09-10 16:53 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.86 | $43.00 |
| 09-08 05:27 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 09-07 12:58 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.983 | $147.45 |
| 09-04 04:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 09-03 07:55 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 09-03 06:23 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.241 | $12.05 |
| 09-02 05:34 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.89 | $178.00 |
| 09-02 05:34 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 09-02 05:16 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |