PolyBot

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Traders

frosique1

0x91c7f544a6efad9825185c2bca1f1a95cc92b576

Realised P&L
$-5.2k
Volume
$537.6k
Markets traded
580
Open portfolio
$16.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded580
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8250.935$4.5k+$524.34
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8940.955$1.6k+$104.04
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8790.945$1.3k+$89.21
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6730.845$836.07+$169.96
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.8270.935$697.70+$80.80
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8400.895$577.28+$35.71
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8510.895$552.66+$27.46
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9250.945$545.51+$11.32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.8520.175$519.05$2.0k
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.6660.815$444.72+$81.11
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.6870.855$428.36+$84.32
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No0.8450.865$398.02+$9.20
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8280.895$391.56+$29.11
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? · No0.8370.905$385.16+$28.75
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8660.835$369.07$13.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 04:05Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.992$119.04
09-14 05:34Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.055$1.38
09-12 16:32Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.93$186.00
09-12 15:03Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.983$491.50
09-11 08:35US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?BUY0.16$3.20
09-11 02:08Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.85$51.00
09-10 16:53Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.86$43.00
09-08 05:27Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$93.00
09-07 12:58Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.983$147.45
09-04 04:58Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.88$88.00
09-03 07:55US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?SELL0.95$95.00
09-03 06:23Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.241$12.05
09-02 05:34Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.89$178.00
09-02 05:34Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.89$89.00
09-02 05:16Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?BUY0.93$93.00