PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x91c768F34430De24DaFd3872F9CEb98606F3B70B-1772356264422

0x91c768f34430de24dafd3872f9ceb98606f3b70b

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$7.2k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$474.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar15.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.1190.503$211.16+$161.16
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0700.075$61.24+$4.08
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.2600.305$58.65+$8.65
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4500.445$49.44$0.56
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1220.057$46.83$53.17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2600.165$38.08$21.92
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3800.085$8.95$31.05
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1980.000$0.00$100.00
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$50.00
Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00$20.00
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$20.00
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.3680.000$0.00$50.00
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April? · No0.4190.000$0.00$132.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-27 19:39Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0699999989$57.16
06-27 19:38Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.1217060677$100.00
06-22 06:05Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1979999984$100.00
06-22 06:04Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1389999989$100.00
05-23 19:20Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?BUY0.1399999962$30.00
05-17 02:27Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?BUY0.0365018001$20.00
05-17 02:27Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?BUY0.2129999951$30.00
05-17 02:22Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?BUY0.4445554401$50.00
05-17 02:21Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?SELL0.08$11.49
05-15 18:29Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?BUY0.1$20.00
05-15 18:29Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?BUY0.1179999951$20.00
05-15 18:28Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?BUY0.1499999976$50.00
05-15 18:25Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3799999973$40.00
05-15 18:24Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.1192229269$50.00
05-15 18:17Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2599999977$60.00