0x91c768F34430De24DaFd3872F9CEb98606F3B70B-1772356264422
0x91c768f34430de24dafd3872f9ceb98606f3b70b
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $474.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar15.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$627.50at 0.361Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
- +$616.84at 0.142Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$184.29at 0.140Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
- +$167.09at 0.425Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
- +$109.66at 0.221Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 19:39 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999989 | $57.16 |
| 06-27 19:38 | Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.1217060677 | $100.00 |
| 06-22 06:05 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1979999984 | $100.00 |
| 06-22 06:04 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1389999989 | $100.00 |
| 05-23 19:20 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | BUY | 0.1399999962 | $30.00 |
| 05-17 02:27 | Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k? | BUY | 0.0365018001 | $20.00 |
| 05-17 02:27 | Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k? | BUY | 0.2129999951 | $30.00 |
| 05-17 02:22 | Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k? | BUY | 0.4445554401 | $50.00 |
| 05-17 02:21 | Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k? | SELL | 0.08 | $11.49 |
| 05-15 18:29 | Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 05-15 18:29 | Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.1179999951 | $20.00 |
| 05-15 18:28 | Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999976 | $50.00 |
| 05-15 18:25 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3799999973 | $40.00 |
| 05-15 18:24 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.1192229269 | $50.00 |
| 05-15 18:17 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2599999977 | $60.00 |