PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fvcksht

0x915cabc69657b3b376a93403ac6c7f626477adab

Realised P&L
$37.98
Volume
$21.9k
Markets traded
64
Open portfolio
$24.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded64
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6350.445$4.21$1.79
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5250.502$3.83$0.17
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3210.360$2.25+$0.25
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8540.954$2.23+$0.23
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? · Yes0.8900.935$2.10+$0.10
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2500.205$1.64$0.36
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5800.765$1.32+$0.32
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? · Yes0.7700.930$1.21+$0.21
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.8200.935$1.14+$0.14
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2000.205$1.02+$0.03
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? · Yes0.9200.931$1.01+$0.01
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2200.215$0.98$0.02
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1940.160$0.82$0.18
Tom Holland as Spider-Man? · Yes0.6600.415$0.63$0.37
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.1400.041$0.29$0.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 00:57Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.7299999679$5.00
08-02 00:56CF Cruz Azul to score first vs. Atlante FC?BUY0.75$3.00
07-28 05:03Tom Holland as Spider-Man?BUY0.66$1.00
07-28 05:03Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?BUY0.77$1.00
07-28 05:02Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?BUY0.92$1.00
07-28 05:02Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?BUY0.8899999555$2.00
07-28 05:01Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
07-28 05:00Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
07-28 05:00Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
07-28 04:58Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?BUY0.7829999577$2.00
07-28 04:57Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3209935848$2.00
07-28 04:53Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C or below on July 28?BUY0.001$1.00
07-28 04:52Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.5799994896$1.00
07-28 04:50Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.64$5.00
07-28 04:48Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.8539996473$2.00